Options lovers, news junkies, stock market enthusiasts

Archive for February, 2012

Bernanke Speaks on Capitol Hill and Precious Metals Plummet!! Gold Tanking…Options?! By: Tim Bolger

English: A frame from a screencast from the US...

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Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is speaking on Capitol Hill at the moment…During his speech the markets have all turned into the red and Gold is plummeting over $65 an ounce(11:50 am Eastern standard time)…Wow!! It is amazing how the Fed chief can move markets and metals prices in just a few seconds while addressing Congressional leaders and the American people.  I’m a long term bull on Silver and very bullish on Goldilox…Gold was trading down as much as $80 an ounce intraday.

So what is the options play on Gold tanking today?!

Trade#1: I would consider selling the $165 April 20, 2012 Put Options on the GLD for $4.25 a contract. Remember that in order to sell these 3 contracts, we need to have $49,500 in cash reserves in our brokerage account in case we get exercised on the GLD shares at $165 a share.  I am comfortable going long the GLD at $165 and therefore I like this trade alot…By selling 3 Put Option contracts, I will collect a premium of $1,275 minus trading fees. If the GLD bounces after this major sell off today and moves higher I will not get exercised on these shares at expiration. Either way, I like this trade and selling the Put Options will help finance the worst case scenario, in which I get exercised on 3 Put Option contracts (3 x 100= 300 Gld shares at $165 a share). Attached is the April 20, 2012 Options Chains on GLD courtesy of Yahoo Financehttp://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=GLD&m=2012-04.

Trade#2: I would consider taking advantage of this huge sell off in Gold today and think about buying the $165 June 15, 2012 expiration GLD Call Options for $4.80 a contract. I can buy 10 Call Option contracts for $4,800 plus trading fees and that will give me long exposure to 1,000 shares of GLD at $165 a share. My $4,800 investment will be worth over $10,000 if GLD trades to $175 by the June 15, 2012 expiration.  Attached is the June 15, 2012 Options Chains on GLD courtesy of Yahoo Finance:  http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=GLD&m=2012-06. Good luck to all of the Goldilox bulls and stay tuned to Optionshoney.com for more Options action!! Show me the honey!!

For more conservative investors, I would stay away from the Options on GLD and just buy the GLD at $165 or less. The GLD is a great hedge on higher inflation and a weak U.S. Dollar…The other way to get Gold exposure is by purchasing 10 ounce gold bars or the beautiful 1 ounce Gold American Eagle coins. It is really nice to own the physical and fun to hold these shiny yellow bars/coins…and yes they are worth alot of money too!! I am also a big fan of owning shares of Canadian gold miner: Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) at $45 or less a share.

Technology Stocks Move Higher!! Oracle Options Honey?!! By: Tim Bolger

Oracle Headquarters Redwood Shores

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Oracle Corporation world HQ

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I’ve been a long term bull on Oracle Corporation and believe that it is one of the best run companies on the planet…It has some of the highest gross margins and cutting edge software products on the planet as well…To put the icing on the cake, it is run by CEO and Co-founder Larry Ellison…Ellison dominates the Technology business software sector and almost everything he touches turns to Gold…Attached is my post on Oracle Corp earlier this year:

http://optionshoney.com/2012/01/16/ellison-and-oracle-dominate-the-globe-what-is-the-options-play-honey/.

After a huge run up in the Nasdaq, Oracle has lagged over the past 6 months and I believe that it is starting to get footing and will climb higher…I am a buyer of the stock under $29 a share and I have a $37 twelve month price target on this Tech stock…It is definitely a great stock to park alot of cash into, especially if the markets get very volatile again.  Any pull backs in the stock are excellent opportunities for long term investors to add to their core positions in Oracle shares.  I am watching the Call Options on Oracle very closely and have been monitoring the stock for several years…Remember, Options take patience/precision and are not suitable for all investors.  I often cost average my purchase of Options contracts, just like I would buying shares of a company. I rarely ever back up the truck all at once when buying Options contracts because I do not have a crystal ball that perfectly predicts short term bottoms in stocks and overall market indexes.  So what am I buying?! Options honey?!

Over the past few weeks, I have been diversifying my portfolio with Options contracts on several Technology companies including Juniper (JNPR) and Nuance Communications (NUAN) to name a few…

Oracle Options Honey?!

Trade#1:  I am looking at buying the Oracle (ORCL) March 16, 2012 $30 strike Call Options for .20 cents a contract. 100 shares per Options contract x .20 cents= $20 per contract plus trading fees. Attached is the Mar 16, 2012 expiration Options chains for Oracle Corporation courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=ORCL+Options. For $1,000 plus trading fees, I can purchase 50 contracts on ORCL with a $30 strike price. If the stock trades to $31 in the next 3 weeks, my 1k will be worth over $5k. My goal is for the stock to trade to $32, and 1k will be worth 10k for example…I believe ORCL is in an uptrend and if it breaks $30, the stock will run quickly into the low 30s. Good luck to all of the Oracle Bulls!! Remember that options are high risk financial instruments and are not well suited for all traders or conservative investors. Please see the optionshoney.com disclosure and please consult your investment advisor before buying or selling any options/equity securities.

Trade#2: For the longer term bull on Oracle(ORCL), I would think about buying the ORCL Sept 21, 2012 expiration $31 strike Call Options for $1.35 a contract. Attached is the Sept 21, 2012 expiration Options chains courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=ORCL&m=2012-09. If the stock trades to $35 by the September expiration, you will almost triple your money…Stay tuned for more options action at Optionshoney.com.

Technology Stocks in the Spotlight!! Call Options?! Juniper Networks… By: Tim Bolger

Technology Stocks have been on a tear in early 2012 and have had a great run over the past few years…I am following a number of Tech stocks and several of these will be in focus over the next few months on Optionshoney.com. Dell is sinking over 6% today after an unfavorable quarterly earnings report and alot of selling among investors today. Apple hit an all time high of $526 a share last week and has been an absolutely amazing stock to own over the past several years.

What stock is going to pop next?! Well, I have several on the radar and reiterate how options trading takes alot of precise timing and patience before we make a trade.  Many stocks will pop, but our timing is key to benefit from big moves in a stock…

So what is the options play?!

I am a big fan of Sunnyvale, CA based Juniper Networks (JNPR) and think the stock could trade into the mid 30s in 2012. A quick bio on Juniper Networks (JNPR) courtesy of Yahoo Finance:  Juniper Networks, Inc. designs, develops, and sells products and services that provide network infrastructure to create environments for the deployment of services and applications over a single network. The company’s Infrastructure segment primarily provides scalable routing and switching products that control and direct network traffic. Its products include Internet protocol (IP) routing and carrier Ethernet routing portfolio, and Ethernet switching portfolio comprising T-series, E-series, MX-series, VXA Series, and EX-series, as well as JCS, TX, and TX plus products. The company’s SLT segment offers firewall virtual private network systems and appliances, SRX services gateways, secure socket layer virtual private network appliances, intrusion detection and prevention appliances, the J-series router product family, and wide area network optimization platforms. Its products protect the network and data on the network, enhances existing bandwidth, and accelerates applications. In addition, the company provides Junos platform comprising the Junos Space network application platform and Junos Pulse integrated, multi-service network client, which enables its customers to expand network software into application space and deploy software clients to control delivery, as well as offers support, professional, and educational services. It sells its products and services through direct sales force, distributors, value-added resellers, and original equipment manufacturer partners to wireline, wireless, and cable operators; Internet content and application providers; businesses; federal, state, and local governments; and research and education institutions. Juniper Networks, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Forbes is reporting today on Juniper’s acquisition of Mykonos Software: Juniper Buys Mykonos Software For $80 Million In Cashat Forbes(Wed 9:35AM EST)

Trade#1: I like the JNPR Mar 16, 2012 $24 strike Call Options for .95 cents a contract. I can purchase 10 contracts for $950 plus trading fees and that will get me long 1000 shares of JNPR at $24 per share. This trade is speculating on a 10% move to the upside in JNPR shares over the next 3 weeks. If shares trade $26, we will double our money at a minimum…Attached is the March 16, 2012 expiration Options Chains for JNPR courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=JNPR+Options.

Trade#2: I like buying some longer term Call Options on JNPR and would be a buyer of the JNPR July 20, 2012 $23 strike Call Options for $2.90 a contract. I can purchase 10 contracts for $2,900 plus trading fees as a means to get long 1000 shares of JNPR stock at a strike price of $23 per share. Attached is the JNPR July 20, 2012 Expiration Options Chains courtesy of Yahoo Finance:http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=JNPR&m=2012-07. I am looking for JNPR shares to trade $30 or higher before the expiration of these contracts. If the stock trades over $30 per share in the next few months, my 10 contracts would be worth over $7,000. Good luck to all of JNPR Bulls!! I would also be a buyer of the stock at $24 or less per share.  I strongly believe that Juniper will be a great stock over the next couple of years and will significantly outperform the major market indexes.  Additionally, Juniper is a potential acquisition target for a much larger Technology company. I believe that a takeover of Juniper would be at a substantial premium to where the stock is trading at today. Currently, JNPR is trading at $24.19 and is up over 1.75% today (11:19 a.m. Eastern time)…

See below a 3 month technical chart on Juniper Networks(JNPR) courtesy of Fidelity:

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Greece Inks a Huge 2nd Bailout!! Metals Jumping! Options honey?! By: Tim Bolger

Photo courtesy of: http://www.iho-ohi.org/index.php/category/greece/

Athens Greece

Riots continue to escalate all over Athens throughout the long weekend and Greece inks a 2nd bailout deal with European finance officials to save the country from bankruptcy in the short term…such a beautiful country that has been crushed by sovereign debt issues and a very weak economy. The Dow Jones is flirting with 13000 and metals are jumping today on this breaking news on Greece…Gold is up over $26 an ounce today and I posted an article on Jan 17, 2012 about my long term bull case for Goldilox moving higher…here is my previous post on Gold: http://optionshoney.com/2012/01/17/can-you-say-goldilox-is-soaring-this-shiny-metal-is-hott-in-january-gold-options-honey/.  I suggested traders/investors think about buying the June 15, 2012 $165 strike Call Options on the GLD for $6.00 a contract. Those GLD Options contracts are spiking higher today and may still move much higher in the near term. The ishares Silver Trust(SLV) is trading 2% higher as well today.   I would recommend more conservative investors to buy shares of stock on the GLD and SLV for the long term…I like the GLD at $165 and the SLV at $29.

I am very positive on the miners going forward and I think there is still huge upside in that space…Many of the miners have underperformed the big rise in metals prices over the past few years and that is where I am seeing the most opportunity for investors seeking value plays.  I am increasing my position today on Hecla Mining (HL) by buying the Call Options and I would be a buyer of the Call options on General Molycorp(GMO) as well. Hecla Mining reported earnings today and the stock is soaring over 7 %…Business wire reports: Hecla Reports Record 2011 Revenue & Gross ProfitsBusiness Wire(Tue 8:00AM EST). Hecla Declares Silver-Linked Dividend and Adds New Minimum DividendBusiness Wire(Tue 8:15AM EST)

A quick profile bio on Hecla Mining courtesy of Yahoo Finance: Hecla Mining Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the discovery, acquisition, development, production, and marketing of silver, gold, lead, and zinc. The company produces lead, zinc, and bulk concentrates and sells them to custom smelters; and unrefined gold and silver bullion bars, which it sells to precious metals traders. It holds 100% interest in the Greens Creek operating unit located near Admiralty Island in Alaska; and 100% interest in the Lucky Friday operating unit located in Idaho. Hecla Mining Company founded in 1891 and is based in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho.

http://www.hecla-mining.com/exploration/ Chart below is on Hecla Mining Silver Growth:

Silver Growth

What is the Options Play on Hecla Mining?!  

Hecla Mining(HL)  is jumping over 6.5% today and I would think about buying the March 16, 2012 $5 strike Call Options on HL for .45 cents a contract.  Attached is the March 16, 2012 Options Chains for HL courtesy of Yahoo Finance:  http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=HL&m=2012-03.

I would also consider buying longer term options contracts on HL further out to give us a little more time for a continued rise in the shares of HL.  I like the HL June 15, 2012 $6 strike Call Options for .25-.30 cents a contract. Attached is the Options Chains on HL for June 15, 2012 expiration courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=HL&m=2012-06. Stay tuned for more big trades at http://www.Optionshoney.com!!

See below the 5 day technical chart on Hecla Mining (HL) courtesy of Fidelity Investments:

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Diamond Foods Spiking 6% After Big Sell Off Yesterday!! Call Options?! By: Tim Bolger

Just a quick note on Diamond Foods(DMND). I posted an article yesterday: http://optionshoney.com/2012/02/09/big-shake-up-at-diamond-foods-this-is-totally-nutz-ceo-and-cfo-are-out-options-honey/recommending that investors buy shares of the San Francisco snack food maker on a huge 42% decline in the shares. DMND is up close to 6% today, on a day in the red across all the major U.S. stock indexes.  Additionally, I suggested buying the Call Options on DMND to take advantage of yesterday’s tremendous share weakness.  I bought the Feb 17, 2012 $23 strike Call Options for $1.45 yesterday and hope that a few other traders jumped on that train. Well, I know alot of Wall St. Pros are all over this big trade and yesterday was a record volume day for Options traded on DMND foods, but I hope a few Optionshoney lovers are making money on this trade as well. Forbes reports: Plunge In Diamond Foods Yields Feast Of Options Trades at Forbes(Fri 10:07AM EST). Consider locking in profits today as these DMND Options contracts are trading 61% higher over night:http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=DMND120218C00023000. Always remember that pigs get slaughtered…no need to be greedy and it’s a very smart move to take 60% of our profits off the table on this rally in DMND shares and the Call Options…But, this stock may run to 28 by the Feb 17th expiration next week and we could still see huge upside in the value of these Call Options contracts. Options are risky financial instruments and please consult your investment advisor before buying any Options contracts or stocks that I research/trade on this site.  Stay tuned for more action at Optionshoney.com.

Check out the 2 day chart on DMND courtesy of Fidelity Investments:

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Big Shake-up at Diamond Foods…This is Totally Nutz!!! CEO and CFO are Out?!. Options Honey?! By: Tim Bolger

Shares of San Francisco based snack food maker Diamond Foods(DMND) tanked over 42% on huge volume this morning after the company announced yesterday evening that they would have to restate there 2010-2011 financial statements following the negative results of a 3 month Audit investigation that was not favorable for DMND shareholders in the short term… The audit was conducted because of an alleged accounting scandal over the momentum payment from DMND to its Walnut growers.. To put the icing on the cake, the CEO and CFO are being removed from the company.  Definitely not a fun day for those long the stock…However, I still love Diamond Foods Wasabi Almonds and the rest of their yummy products. So, I bought shares of the stock on all of this bad news today.  Consumers will continue to gobble up there tasty nuts around the globe for sure and this is a short term thunderstorm for the company that provides a great opportunity to buy the shares at a deep discount….

So what is the Options play?!  Diamond Foods: http://www.diamondfoods.com. Check out this article written by the Wall St. Journal today on Diamond Foods. The WSJ reports a record trading volume day in Put and Call Options on Diamond Foods Inc.: http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2012/02/09/taking-a-bullish-flyer-on-diamond-foods/?mod=yahoo_hs.

WSJ Reports: Diamond Food CFO’s To-Dos: Restate, Then Rebuild…

 http://blogs.wsj.com/cfo/2012/02/09/diamond-food-cfos-to-dos-restate-then-rebuild/?mod=yahoo_hs

I purchased the Feb 17, 2012 $23 strike Call Options on DMND today for $1.45 a contract and would be a buyer of the longer term Call Options as well. Attached is the Options Chains for the DMND June 15, 2012 Put/Call Options courtesy of Yahoo Finance:  http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=DMND&m=2012-06. I would be a buyer of the DMND $22.50 strike Call Options for $3.40.  I am also a buyer of the stock under $23  a share and believe it is a great long term investment.  I love San Francisco and love this SF Nut Company!!! The Pringles acquisition may not happen now because of this terrible news today…however, I would personally prefer the company not to purchase Pringles from Procter and Gamble and feel that DMND is paying way too large a premium for this brand name chip franchise. Reuters reports:Procter & Gamble likely to terminate Pringles deal with Diamond Foods, NYT saystheflyonthewall.com (Thu 11:47AM EST).  Stay tuned to Optionshoney.com for more Options plays… 🙂

Check out the ten day chart of DMND courtesy of Fidelity Investments:

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Bull Market Turns Green in Late Trade!! Visa Call Options Active Ahead of Earnings! By: Tim Bolger

After being in the red most of the day, all of the major U.S. stock indexes turn Green in late trade…The Bulls are in control of this market and stocks continue to grind higher.  Apple(AAPL) is hitting another record high stock price, with an intraday high of $475.15.  Yup, Aapl is approaching a market capitalization of 1/2 trillion U.S. Dollars…and that Tech giant is amazing!! Stock runs to $550 in 2012 in my opinion.  Sorry Exxon Mobile…

About Visa

Visa(V) reports after the bell and I am long the V $110 and $115 strike Feb 17, 2012 Call Options into earnings. Attached is the Feb 17, 2012 V Options Chains courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=V+Options.  Check out the volume on the Feb 17, 2012 $110 and $115 strike V Call Options and prices jumping ahead of earnings today after the bell!! I took some profits off the table earlier today on a few of my Visa options contracts and I am hoping for a big earnings beat!! Visa is rallying this afternoon around 1% and the stock is approaching a record high price. I think V could run to $150 a share in 2012 and I am hopeful for an upbeat full year 2012 earnings and revenue guidance that beats the street expectations after the bell!! Keep an eye on BAC, GS, JPM, GNW, and C. All of these financial stocks are set to fly in 2012 and still have huge upside potential…Stay tuned for more of the Options and Market buzz at Optionshoney.com. See below a ten day chart on V courtesy of Fidelity Investments:

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