Image via Wikipedia
- I have been a long term bull on the Oracle Corporation(ORCL) and love this company… Earlier this week , I recommended that Options honey readers consider buying the Mar 16, 2012 expiration $30 strike Call Options on Oracle (ORCL) for .20 cents(.20 x 100 shares per contract=$20 a contract plus trading fees). Oracle is trading up 1.23% at 29.61(11:21 AM EST) and the March 16, 2012 $30 strike Call Option contracts have gained almost 100% in value. Attached is the March 16, 2012 expiration $30 strike ORCL Call Option courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ORCL120317C00030000.
- You might want to consider selling 40% of your position to lock in a big gain at .40 cents a contract(.40 x 100 shares per contract=$40). That would be a quick gain of $800 minus trading fees. That’s nice!! Lovin’ that Honey…I mean Money!! If you bought 100 contracts, you will still have 60 contracts remaining in order to profit huge from the potential move in the stock above $30 in the next few trading days. I reiterate my $37 2012 price target on Oracle shares and strongly believe that if the stock breaks 30, it will run into the low 30s very quickly.
Good luck Oracle Bulls & Stay Tuned to http://www.Optionshoney.com!!
Image via Wikipedia
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is speaking on Capitol Hill at the moment…During his speech the markets have all turned into the red and Gold is plummeting over $65 an ounce(11:50 am Eastern standard time)…Wow!! It is amazing how the Fed chief can move markets and metals prices in just a few seconds while addressing Congressional leaders and the American people. I’m a long term bull on Silver and very bullish on Goldilox…Gold was trading down as much as $80 an ounce intraday.
So what is the options play on Gold tanking today?!
Trade#1: I would consider selling the $165 April 20, 2012 Put Options on the GLD for $4.25 a contract. Remember that in order to sell these 3 contracts, we need to have $49,500 in cash reserves in our brokerage account in case we get exercised on the GLD shares at $165 a share. I am comfortable going long the GLD at $165 and therefore I like this trade alot…By selling 3 Put Option contracts, I will collect a premium of $1,275 minus trading fees. If the GLD bounces after this major sell off today and moves higher I will not get exercised on these shares at expiration. Either way, I like this trade and selling the Put Options will help finance the worst case scenario, in which I get exercised on 3 Put Option contracts (3 x 100= 300 Gld shares at $165 a share). Attached is the April 20, 2012 Options Chains on GLD courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=GLD&m=2012-04.
Trade#2: I would consider taking advantage of this huge sell off in Gold today and think about buying the $165 June 15, 2012 expiration GLD Call Options for $4.80 a contract. I can buy 10 Call Option contracts for $4,800 plus trading fees and that will give me long exposure to 1,000 shares of GLD at $165 a share. My $4,800 investment will be worth over $10,000 if GLD trades to $175 by the June 15, 2012 expiration. Attached is the June 15, 2012 Options Chains on GLD courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=GLD&m=2012-06. Good luck to all of the Goldilox bulls and stay tuned to Optionshoney.com for more Options action!! Show me the honey!!
For more conservative investors, I would stay away from the Options on GLD and just buy the GLD at $165 or less. The GLD is a great hedge on higher inflation and a weak U.S. Dollar…The other way to get Gold exposure is by purchasing 10 ounce gold bars or the beautiful 1 ounce Gold American Eagle coins. It is really nice to own the physical and fun to hold these shiny yellow bars/coins…and yes they are worth alot of money too!! I am also a big fan of owning shares of Canadian gold miner: Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) at $45 or less a share.
Dryships (Drys) has made an amazing run ahead of earnings over the past 4 trading days…If you bought the Feb 17, 2012 2.50 Call Options, let’s not get greedy and it might be time to lock in some big profits today. Or at least take 60% off the table. The contracts that I purchased on Friday Feb 3, 2012 for $13 a contract are now trading at $37 a contract! That’s a huge gain and a smart trader will lock in some of those profits…keep in mind that if Drys has a good earnings report next week, these contracts could still run to $75 plus a contract before Feb 17, 2012 expiration…wish I had crystal ball folks…The more conservative play is to take 60% of your money off the table on the shorter term options contracts and get long the 2014 $5 strike Call Option Leaps on Drys for the bull run…This stock traded $120 a share only a few years back and I would love to see it run back to $20 or $30 a share in the next five years. That is why I am also long shares of the common stock of Drys as well, which have no expiration date…Pending the company never files for bankruptcy protection…Let’s hope not… See below the ten day chart on Drys courtesy of Fidelity Investments:
I discussed the big run up in Genworth Financial(GNW) over the past few weeks in a previous post on Optionshoney.com. The broader stock market indexes are all in slightly negative territory this afternoon as gold and silver continue to march higher!!! What is the play on GNW into earnings next week!? I am personally sticking with my bullish call on GNW and want to have long exposure going into earnings next week.
What is the Options play?
Options Trade#1: I would think about buying the GNW March 17, 2012 7 and 8 strike Call Options. Gnw shares are trading down around 4% today and I would be a buyer of these options at 1.08 and .50 cents a contract. I can purchase 10 contracts for a $1.08 ($1.08 x 100 shares per contract x 10 contracts=$1,080) and 20 contracts for .50 cents (.50 x 100 shares per contract x 20 contracts=$1,000) for a total cost of $2,080 plus trading fees. For a few thousand dollars, I will get long exposure to 3000 shares of GNW going into earnings next week. That is called leverage with purchasing Call Options. Buying 3000 shares of GNW stock today would cost me close to $23,100. If they beat the street and give any positive signals about a rapid decline in mortgage defaults or a housing recovery, this trade will be very profitable. If they miss and the stock tanks, I could lose a total of $2,080 plus fees on this trade. Remember options are very risky and extremely volatile. Please remember to consult your investment advisor before making any stock or options purchases.
Options Trade#2: I would also be a seller of the Feb 18, 2012 7 strike Put Options for .30 cents a contract. If I sell 20 contracts I will credit $600 to my brokerage account. Worst case scenario, I get exercised on the shares and I have to purchase 2000 shares of GNW at $7 for $14,000 plus fees. By selling the Put Options I will reduce the cost of buying the 2000 shares by the $600 credit to my brokerage account. Best case scenario, they blow out earnings next week and I keep the $600 without having to buy the shares…However, my long term outlook and price target on the stock is 17, so I like owning the stock at these levels. The book value of GNW shares is close to $28 a share…Good luck Longs!! Till next time on Optionshoney.com.
5 Year Chart on GNW courtesy of Fidelity Investments: