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Tech Giant Oracle Has Big Quarterly Numbers and Stock Slides!! What are my Options?! By: Tim Bolger

German Sailing Grand Prix Kiel 2006. Team: BMW...

German Sailing Grand Prix Kiel 2006. Team: BMW Oracle Racing. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Oracle Corporation (ORCL): the business software and hardware global giant is sliding over 2% to $29.48(3:19 PM EDT) after it beat the streets quarterly earnings expectations after the closing bell on March 20, 2012 (Q3 results ending Feb 29th).

In morning trade, Orcl stock popped to an intraday high of $31.15 a share and then reversed course to the downside breaking the important technical of $30 a share. Nearly 80,000,000 shares have traded hands on this tech giant before 3:26 PM EDT on a day of huge volume, in which investors/analysts have a mixed sentiment on the financial results of the company. Oracle beat analyst expectations by a slight percentage, coming in with $9.04 Billion in revenue for the quarter.  The street had Oracle coming in with an estimated $9.02 Billion, which is only a small beat and may partially explain why the shares are sliding after a quick knee jerk pop to the upside this morning.

On a more positive note, Oracle had a very impressive gross margin of 78.9% and an operating margin of 37.8%. Non-GAAP earnings beat the street by 6 cents, coming in at $0.62 cents a share and the street had predicted Oracle to come in at $0.56 cents a share. Check out the chart below courtesy of Capital IQ to take a closer look at the Non-GAAP earnings results in more detail:

anImage

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Despite the slide in Oracle shares today, I am still a raging bull when it comes to investing in this global technology giant. Larry Ellison is one of the smartest and richest Tech moguls on planet earth and I am very confident in the long term picture of continued profitability and share appreciation of this Bay Area Tech giant. I am maintaining my $37 price target for Orcl shares over the next 11 months and would be a buyer of the shares on this pullback.  I think this is short term storm for and pullback in Orcl shares and presents a great long term buying opportunity for new investors and those looking to accumulate more shares for their core positions. A great entry point in the stock will be at a share price of $27.50 or less. Now, what is the Option play?! I like the longer term Call options and selling the near term Put options on Oracle.

Trade#1: I would consider selling the Oracle(ORCL) $29 strike Put Option for $0.90 cents a contract with an April 20, 2012 expiration date. Attached is Oracle Options Chains with an April 20, 2012 expiration date courtesy of YahooFinance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=ORCL&m=2012-04. If I sell 20 Orcl Put Options for $0.90 cents each, I will credit $1,800 into my brokerage account ($0.90 cents x 100 shares per contract=$90 and $90 x 20 contracts =$1,800).

Remember, by selling the Put options, we are taking the big risk of potentially being exercised on the shares of Oracle at $29, if shares of Orcl stock are trading below $29 on the expiration date of these contracts.  Therefore, we need to have $58,000 in cash in our brokerage account as cash collateral in the event that we get exercised on the 20 Put option contracts that we are considering selling. 20 contractsx$2,900($29 x 100 shares per contract)=$58,000. This is definitely not a trade for beginners, especially if you do not have the cash reserves to initiate the trade. However, I am a fan of this trade and a big long term bull on Oracle. In a worst case scenario, I am comfortable going long 2,000 shares of Oracle at $29 a share if I get exercised. By selling the Put options, I am in a sense financing $1,800 towards the potential eventual purchase of 2,000 shares of Oracle at $29 per share. By selling the Put Options, I am actually getting long the stock at $28.10 (net cost of $58,000-$1,800 credit=$56,200)because of the $1,800 that was initially credited to my brokerage account at the opening of this derivatives transaction.

Trade #2: I would consider buying the Oracle(Orcl) $29 strike Call Options with a Sept 21, 2012 expiration date for $1.25 a contract. Attached is the Orcl Options Chains with a Sept 21, 2012 expiration date courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=ORCL&m=2012-09. I can buy 20 contracts for $2,500($125 per contract of 100 shares x20 contracts= $2,500 to open this trade) and that will give me long exposure on 2,000 shares of Orcl stock at $29 a share for the next several months. If the stock trades to $35 by the September expiration date, my initial $2,500 investment will be worth over $12,000. That would be beautiful return on our capital and I think that Tech stocks continue to lead this market rally higher in 2012!!! Lets go Orcl Bulls!! Remember, we need Orcl stock to decline another  5 or 6% in order for us to get an opportunity to buy these September 2012 Call Options for $1.25 a contract. Options take alot of patience and discipline to be successful in making money. Please remember to consult your investment advisor before buying or selling any equity securities/stock options. Good luck and stay tuned for more big action at http://www.Optionshoney.com.

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Honey?! Lock in Some Profits on Oracle Call Options?! By: Tim Bolger

Deutsch: Oracle-Zentrale in Redwood Shores.

Image via Wikipedia

I have been a long term bull on the Oracle Corporation(ORCL) and love this company… Earlier this week , I recommended that Options honey readers consider buying the Mar 16, 2012 expiration $30 strike Call Options on Oracle (ORCL) for .20 cents(.20 x 100 shares per contract=$20 a contract plus trading fees). Oracle is trading up 1.23% at 29.61(11:21 AM EST) and the March 16, 2012 $30 strike Call Option contracts have gained almost 100% in value. Attached is the March 16, 2012 expiration $30 strike ORCL Call Option courtesy of Yahoo Financehttp://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ORCL120317C00030000
 
You might want to consider selling 40% of your position to lock in a big gain at .40 cents a contract(.40 x 100 shares per contract=$40). That would be a quick gain of $800 minus trading fees. That’s nice!! Lovin’ that Honey…I mean Money!! If you bought 100 contracts, you will still have 60 contracts remaining in order to profit huge from the potential move in the stock above $30 in the next few trading days. I reiterate my $37 2012 price target on Oracle shares and strongly believe that if the stock breaks 30, it will run into the low 30s very quickly.

Good luck Oracle Bulls & Stay Tuned to http://www.Optionshoney.com!!

Bernanke Speaks on Capitol Hill and Precious Metals Plummet!! Gold Tanking…Options?! By: Tim Bolger

English: A frame from a screencast from the US...

Image via Wikipedia

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is speaking on Capitol Hill at the moment…During his speech the markets have all turned into the red and Gold is plummeting over $65 an ounce(11:50 am Eastern standard time)…Wow!! It is amazing how the Fed chief can move markets and metals prices in just a few seconds while addressing Congressional leaders and the American people.  I’m a long term bull on Silver and very bullish on Goldilox…Gold was trading down as much as $80 an ounce intraday.

So what is the options play on Gold tanking today?!

Trade#1: I would consider selling the $165 April 20, 2012 Put Options on the GLD for $4.25 a contract. Remember that in order to sell these 3 contracts, we need to have $49,500 in cash reserves in our brokerage account in case we get exercised on the GLD shares at $165 a share.  I am comfortable going long the GLD at $165 and therefore I like this trade alot…By selling 3 Put Option contracts, I will collect a premium of $1,275 minus trading fees. If the GLD bounces after this major sell off today and moves higher I will not get exercised on these shares at expiration. Either way, I like this trade and selling the Put Options will help finance the worst case scenario, in which I get exercised on 3 Put Option contracts (3 x 100= 300 Gld shares at $165 a share). Attached is the April 20, 2012 Options Chains on GLD courtesy of Yahoo Financehttp://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=GLD&m=2012-04.

Trade#2: I would consider taking advantage of this huge sell off in Gold today and think about buying the $165 June 15, 2012 expiration GLD Call Options for $4.80 a contract. I can buy 10 Call Option contracts for $4,800 plus trading fees and that will give me long exposure to 1,000 shares of GLD at $165 a share. My $4,800 investment will be worth over $10,000 if GLD trades to $175 by the June 15, 2012 expiration.  Attached is the June 15, 2012 Options Chains on GLD courtesy of Yahoo Finance:  http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=GLD&m=2012-06. Good luck to all of the Goldilox bulls and stay tuned to Optionshoney.com for more Options action!! Show me the honey!!

For more conservative investors, I would stay away from the Options on GLD and just buy the GLD at $165 or less. The GLD is a great hedge on higher inflation and a weak U.S. Dollar…The other way to get Gold exposure is by purchasing 10 ounce gold bars or the beautiful 1 ounce Gold American Eagle coins. It is really nice to own the physical and fun to hold these shiny yellow bars/coins…and yes they are worth alot of money too!! I am also a big fan of owning shares of Canadian gold miner: Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) at $45 or less a share.

Technology Stocks Move Higher!! Oracle Options Honey?!! By: Tim Bolger

Oracle Headquarters Redwood Shores

Image via Wikipedia

Oracle Corporation world HQ

Image via Wikipedia

I’ve been a long term bull on Oracle Corporation and believe that it is one of the best run companies on the planet…It has some of the highest gross margins and cutting edge software products on the planet as well…To put the icing on the cake, it is run by CEO and Co-founder Larry Ellison…Ellison dominates the Technology business software sector and almost everything he touches turns to Gold…Attached is my post on Oracle Corp earlier this year:

http://optionshoney.com/2012/01/16/ellison-and-oracle-dominate-the-globe-what-is-the-options-play-honey/.

After a huge run up in the Nasdaq, Oracle has lagged over the past 6 months and I believe that it is starting to get footing and will climb higher…I am a buyer of the stock under $29 a share and I have a $37 twelve month price target on this Tech stock…It is definitely a great stock to park alot of cash into, especially if the markets get very volatile again.  Any pull backs in the stock are excellent opportunities for long term investors to add to their core positions in Oracle shares.  I am watching the Call Options on Oracle very closely and have been monitoring the stock for several years…Remember, Options take patience/precision and are not suitable for all investors.  I often cost average my purchase of Options contracts, just like I would buying shares of a company. I rarely ever back up the truck all at once when buying Options contracts because I do not have a crystal ball that perfectly predicts short term bottoms in stocks and overall market indexes.  So what am I buying?! Options honey?!

Over the past few weeks, I have been diversifying my portfolio with Options contracts on several Technology companies including Juniper (JNPR) and Nuance Communications (NUAN) to name a few…

Oracle Options Honey?!

Trade#1:  I am looking at buying the Oracle (ORCL) March 16, 2012 $30 strike Call Options for .20 cents a contract. 100 shares per Options contract x .20 cents= $20 per contract plus trading fees. Attached is the Mar 16, 2012 expiration Options chains for Oracle Corporation courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=ORCL+Options. For $1,000 plus trading fees, I can purchase 50 contracts on ORCL with a $30 strike price. If the stock trades to $31 in the next 3 weeks, my 1k will be worth over $5k. My goal is for the stock to trade to $32, and 1k will be worth 10k for example…I believe ORCL is in an uptrend and if it breaks $30, the stock will run quickly into the low 30s. Good luck to all of the Oracle Bulls!! Remember that options are high risk financial instruments and are not well suited for all traders or conservative investors. Please see the optionshoney.com disclosure and please consult your investment advisor before buying or selling any options/equity securities.

Trade#2: For the longer term bull on Oracle(ORCL), I would think about buying the ORCL Sept 21, 2012 expiration $31 strike Call Options for $1.35 a contract. Attached is the Sept 21, 2012 expiration Options chains courtesy of Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=ORCL&m=2012-09. If the stock trades to $35 by the September expiration, you will almost triple your money…Stay tuned for more options action at Optionshoney.com.

Diamond Foods Spiking 6% After Big Sell Off Yesterday!! Call Options?! By: Tim Bolger

Just a quick note on Diamond Foods(DMND). I posted an article yesterday: http://optionshoney.com/2012/02/09/big-shake-up-at-diamond-foods-this-is-totally-nutz-ceo-and-cfo-are-out-options-honey/recommending that investors buy shares of the San Francisco snack food maker on a huge 42% decline in the shares. DMND is up close to 6% today, on a day in the red across all the major U.S. stock indexes.  Additionally, I suggested buying the Call Options on DMND to take advantage of yesterday’s tremendous share weakness.  I bought the Feb 17, 2012 $23 strike Call Options for $1.45 yesterday and hope that a few other traders jumped on that train. Well, I know alot of Wall St. Pros are all over this big trade and yesterday was a record volume day for Options traded on DMND foods, but I hope a few Optionshoney lovers are making money on this trade as well. Forbes reports: Plunge In Diamond Foods Yields Feast Of Options Trades at Forbes(Fri 10:07AM EST). Consider locking in profits today as these DMND Options contracts are trading 61% higher over night:http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=DMND120218C00023000. Always remember that pigs get slaughtered…no need to be greedy and it’s a very smart move to take 60% of our profits off the table on this rally in DMND shares and the Call Options…But, this stock may run to 28 by the Feb 17th expiration next week and we could still see huge upside in the value of these Call Options contracts. Options are risky financial instruments and please consult your investment advisor before buying any Options contracts or stocks that I research/trade on this site.  Stay tuned for more action at Optionshoney.com.

Check out the 2 day chart on DMND courtesy of Fidelity Investments:

Chart

Lock in Profits on Dryships(DRYS)?! Buy the 2014 Dryships Leaps and Sell the Feb 12 2.50 strikes… By: Tim Bolger

Dryships (Drys) has made an amazing run ahead of earnings over the past 4 trading days…If you bought the Feb 17, 2012 2.50 Call Options, let’s not get greedy and it might be time to lock in some big profits today. Or at least take 60% off the table. The contracts that I purchased on Friday Feb 3, 2012 for $13 a contract are now trading at $37 a contract! That’s a huge gain and a smart trader will lock in some of those profits…keep in mind that if Drys has a good earnings report next week, these contracts could still run to $75 plus a contract before Feb 17, 2012 expiration…wish I had crystal ball folks…The more conservative play is to take 60% of your money off the table on the shorter term options contracts and get long the 2014 $5 strike Call Option Leaps on Drys for the bull run…This stock traded $120 a share only a few years back and I would love to see it run back to $20 or $30 a share in the next five years. That is why I am also long shares of the common stock of Drys as well, which have no expiration date…Pending the company never files for bankruptcy protection…Let’s hope not… See below the ten day chart on Drys courtesy of Fidelity Investments:

Chart

Dryships (DRYS) Leap Call Options?! By: Tim Bolger

Ocean Rig Corcovado and Ocean Rig Olympia naming ceremony at Samsung Heavy Industries 16/12/2010

For the long term bulls on Dryships (DRYS), I would think about buying the Leap Call Options on the stock.  Dryships may trade to $10 plus over the course of the next few years if the global economy continues to improve and the Dry Baltic Index moves higher after plummeting the past few years.  Increased demand from India, China, and many other emerging economies for resources such as iron ore, will be great news for dry bulk shippers, such as Dryships. Attached is the Yahoo Finance Options Chain for the Jan 2014 Call/Put Options on Drys:  http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=DRYS&m=2014-01. I would be a buyer of the DRYS Jan 17, 2014 $5 strike Call Options at around .35 cents a contract. Good luck longs!! Stay tuned for more action at optionshoney.com.

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